Kentucky vs Pittsburgh 1/8/2011

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Pittsburgh is a solid favorite with a 62% chance to beat Kentucky. Dion Lewis is projected for 117 rushing yards and a 70% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 38% of simulations where Kentucky wins, Mike Hartline averages 1.97 TD passes vs 0.63 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.08 TDs to 0.87 interceptions. Derrick Locke averages 88 rushing yards and 0.96 rushing TDs when Kentucky wins and 75 yards and 0.52 TDs in losses. Pittsburgh has a 42% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 74% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PIT -3 --- Over/Under line is 52.5

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